It can seem like weather, especially coastal weather can be quite unpredictable at times. How many times have you looked at a weather report that has called for rain and been surprised by a beautiful sunny day? In fact the weather can be quite predictable as it follows certain patterns. Understanding these patterns and how to decipher what weather forecasts are telling us can make the difference between good and poor decisions making on the water. This article covers how weather works and how to understand and record weather predictions when planning a trip.
As paddlers we are often concerned about three things when it comes to weather.
Wind is the way the earth distributes the sun’s warming energy. Wind moves in predictable patterns creating areas of high and low pressure. These patterns are driven by the earths rotation. Understanding these patterns allow us to make more educated decision about what we can expect the conditions to be when we are on the water.
WIND: The sun’s energy heats up areas of the earth that are closer to the sun (equator) more than areas that are further away the (poles). This energy is re-distributed by air particles moving around, this is what we call wind. “Wind is the flow of gases on a large scale. On the surface of the Earth, wind consists of the bulk movement of air.” (source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind)
Warm air rises and cooler air sinks, hot air at the equator rises and travels north and south, creating a areas of low pressure at the equatorial latitude. The air that rises cools in the higher altitudes. At 30 N and S cool air sinks toward the earth and moves toward the equator to fill in the low pressure created by the rising hot air.
The generalized pattern are called weather cells. The Hadley Cell is at the equator to the 30 degrees latitudes. at these latitudes there is a surface high pressure, creating clear skies, this is where the earths deserts are often located.
From 30 to 60 degrees latitude, the Ferrel Cell takes over. Some of the warm air from the equator continues to travel north, meeting with cool air flowing south from the poles. These converging air masses at 60 degrees latitude cause air to rise and form clouds. At the 60 degrees latitude the converging air masses create a poler front (The use of the word “front” is from military terminology; it is where opposing armies clash in battle). (Source: https://climate.ncsu.edu/edu/k12/.atmosphere_circulation)
The gaps in between the cells create a narrow band of strong wind in the upper atmosphere called the Jet Stream. The Jet stream blows from west to east steering the direction of storms (areas of low pressure) as they move cross the earth.
In BC in the summer the Jet stream moves north allowing the California high pressure to settle in around Vancouver Island. In the winter the jet stream is located further south bringing storms from across the Pacific directly toward Vancouver Island. Movement of the jet stream can be much more complicated then this simple description. When people discuss weather patters such as La Nina and El Nino, these refer to storm tracks dictated by patterns in the jet stream.
So how do these weather patterns allow us to better understand what’s happening with the weather?
We can think of areas of high and low pressure in the atmosphere as peaks and valleys where air particles creating more weight in the high pressure ridges (like peaks of a mountain) want to move toward and fill in the low pressure troughs (like the valley below). The steeper the difference between these peaks and valleys, the faster the air flow (stronger wind). The steepness in between the highs and lows can be read by isobars on a weather chart. Isobars are lines connecting points of equal atmospheric pressure (Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isobar). Similar to topographic lines on a map.
We can also predict the direction of the wind. Because the earth is spinning, In the Northern Hemisphere, the Coriolis force turns the winds to the right. In the Southern Hemisphere, the Coriolis force turns the winds to the left. Coriolis force is an inertial acting on objects that are in motion relative to a rotating reference frame (Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coriolis_force). The rotating reference frame in this case is the rotation of the earth.
In the Northern Hemisphere, and as air flows form high pressure areas to low pressure areas it does so in a counter clockwise direction. This means that as a low pressure system approaches we can expect south east winds. Once the system is passed by and a high pressure system settles in, the wind switches to north west.
Low pressure = south east winds + rain
High pressure = north west winds + clear skies
Of course, there are many in betweens and different ways that these patterns manifest.
A great paddlers guide to weather and navigation which helped me develop my understanding of everything explained in this article is Navigation, Sea Sate and Weather. A Paddlers’s Manual. Freedom of the Seas, Volume 1; Michael Pardy, JF Marleau, Andrew Woodford and Piper Harris. Published by: Sea Kayak Instruction and Leadsership Systems Ltd. (SKILS).
article by Emre Bosut